Nomads Utd vs Universities AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.9%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
5.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+206%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
11
6º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 6
CAS
10%
12%
78%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NSF
2 - 2
NOM
53%
20%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NOM
4 - 1
SUF
86%
10%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Universities AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 0
FCT
56%
20%
24%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
UOC
1 - 2
DUN
17%
19%
65%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CAS
6 - 1
UOC
93%
5%
2%
|
8 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
5 - 1
UOC
87%
9%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
CHR
8%
12%
81%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | -1 |