Nomads Utd vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
14
7º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
COA
2 - 0
NOM
69%
17%
14%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
FCT
88%
9%
4%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
NOM
32%
21%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 2
CHR
15%
16%
68%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
COA
1 - 0
NOM
52%
21%
28%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 8
CAS
6%
9%
86%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NSF
4 - 4
SUF
89%
8%
4%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 3
UOC
57%
19%
24%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
2 - 5
COA
11%
15%
74%
|
9 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
SUF
4 - 0
FCT
65%
17%
18%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | +1 |