Nomads Utd vs Selwyn United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
7º
10
3º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 1
NOM
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 2
FER
34%
21%
45%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
COA
2 - 1
NOM
68%
17%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
6 - 2
GIA
29%
20%
52%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
CHR
1 - 0
NOM
91%
6%
3%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Selwyn United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2023 |
SUF
2 - 3
COA
24%
20%
56%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
SUF
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
GIA
4 - 1
SUF
62%
18%
20%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SUF
1 - 2
CAS
5%
9%
86%
|
18 | 43 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SUF
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |