Nomads Utd vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
36.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
29
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
1 - 1
NOM
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
COA
46%
21%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 5
NOM
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
1 - 6
CAS
9%
13%
78%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
UOC
0 - 1
NSF
6%
11%
84%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SUF
0 - 5
NSF
15%
16%
70%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 9
NSF
7%
11%
82%
|
19 | 6 | 13 | 0 |