Nomads Utd vs Nelson Suburbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3%
3-1
4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
46.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
2-9
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
7º
22
5º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
COA
41%
21%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
15 | 40 | 25 | +2 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nelson Suburbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NSF
1 - 6
CHR
13%
16%
70%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
COA
2 - 3
NSF
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
2 - 1
FER
65%
17%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
NSF
4 - 5
GIA
74%
14%
12%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 3
NSF
41%
21%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |