Nomads Utd vs Ferrymead Bays analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
34.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
5 - 1
NOM
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NOM
0 - 8
CHR
18%
19%
63%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
5 - 0
NOM
74%
15%
12%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
NOM
1 - 0
SUF
47%
22%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NOM
0 - 6
CAS
5%
13%
82%
|
20 | 51 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Ferrymead Bays
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FER
1 - 2
NSF
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 2
COA
21%
20%
59%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SCR
2 - 3
FER
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FER
2 - 3
CHR
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
MOS
1 - 3
FER
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |