Nomads Utd vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.9%
33%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+101%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
7º
6º
45
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCT
0 - 5
NOM
9%
14%
77%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
2 - 0
DUN
56%
20%
25%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
CHR
3 - 0
NOM
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SUF
0 - 3
NOM
18%
18%
64%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
NOM
4 - 1
NSF
33%
20%
47%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COA
4 - 4
CAS
10%
13%
77%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NSF
3 - 3
COA
53%
20%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COA
7 - 0
SUF
78%
13%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
CHR
2 - 1
COA
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
COA
37%
21%
42%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |