Nomads Utd vs Coastal Spirit analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21.1%
37.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+105%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
10º
7º
31
3º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 49 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 29 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 25 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nomads Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
GIA
1 - 2
NOM
48%
20%
32%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
DUN
42%
21%
36%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
CAS
5%
9%
85%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
FCT
0 - 2
NOM
13%
16%
71%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 4
CHR
9%
14%
78%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Coastal Spirit
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
COA
2 - 3
NSF
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
COA
3 - 2
GIA
60%
19%
21%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
COA
92%
6%
3%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
COA
2 - 0
FCT
86%
9%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2023 |
CHR
2 - 0
COA
87%
9%
4%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | -1 |