Nokia Eagles vs Manawatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
68.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nokia Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2006 |
AUC
9 - 1
NOK
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 70 | 55 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
NOK
0 - 1
MAG
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
TAF
0 - 4
NOK
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 52 | 39 | +3 |
Matches
Manawatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 2
PIR
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
TAF
3 - 3
MAN
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAG
0 - 3
MAN
18%
20%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
MAN
3 - 2
SOU
69%
18%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
AUC
2 - 1
MAN
60%
21%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |