Noja vs UB Conquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
GIM
1 - 2
NOJ
15%
21%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
NOJ
1 - 1
TRO
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 2
NOJ
17%
24%
59%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
NOJ
3 - 0
REO
79%
15%
6%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
VEL
0 - 0
NOJ
27%
25%
49%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
UB Conquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
CFP
2 - 2
UBC
47%
28%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2007 |
UBC
2 - 0
QRE
82%
13%
5%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
LSO
0 - 1
UBC
11%
24%
65%
|
49 | 15 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UBC
1 - 0
GAL
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 20 | 29 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
HEL
1 - 1
UBC
15%
25%
60%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |