Noja vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPB
4 - 1
NOJ
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RCF
4 - 2
NOJ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NOJ
1 - 2
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
NOJ
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NOJ
1 - 2
SDL
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
OVI
1 - 0
BUR
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 1
OVI
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 1
OVI
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CEL
2 - 2
OVI
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
OVI
1 - 1
COM
65%
21%
13%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |