Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-4
Noja vs CD Ourense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 2
NOJ
14%
26%
61%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
NOJ
3 - 0
AYR
76%
17%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
LAR
0 - 0
NOJ
31%
27%
42%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
NOJ
3 - 0
CUL
75%
17%
8%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2001 |
TEX
1 - 0
NOJ
20%
27%
54%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ourense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 2
PON
65%
21%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CDO
0 - 1
BUR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2001 |
BUR
1 - 0
CDO
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2001 |
AGD
2 - 1
CDO
53%
24%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2001 |
CDO
3 - 2
SAB
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |