Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-3
Noja vs Lemona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOJ
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
LEM
0 - 1
NOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
RIB
1 - 0
NOJ
14%
24%
63%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
NOJ
0 - 1
TRO
67%
20%
12%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
RAC
1 - 1
NOJ
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lemona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LEM
2 - 0
DAC
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2002 |
LEM
0 - 1
NOJ
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
BAS
5 - 5
LEM
31%
28%
41%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2002 |
LEM
0 - 0
ZAL
68%
20%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
AUR
0 - 2
LEM
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |