Noja vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 0
NOJ
57%
21%
22%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
NOJ
0 - 0
VIM
68%
19%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
VEL
3 - 0
NOJ
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
NOJ
1 - 1
SEL
32%
25%
43%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
NOJ
44%
23%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RSC
3 - 0
RAM
71%
16%
13%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ERO
1 - 1
RSC
27%
21%
53%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
RSC
0 - 4
BEZ
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATM
3 - 1
RSC
69%
17%
14%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
RSC
1 - 1
RIB
54%
22%
25%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |