Noja vs Burgos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NOJ
0 - 0
OVI
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
SPB
4 - 1
NOJ
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
RCF
4 - 2
NOJ
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
NOJ
1 - 2
CEL
39%
25%
36%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
COM
1 - 1
NOJ
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Burgos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 1
CAU
57%
23%
21%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
OVI
1 - 0
BUR
63%
23%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
SPB
2 - 2
BUR
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BUR
0 - 0
RCF
49%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 1
BUR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |