Noja vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ZAR
1 - 2
NOJ
65%
22%
14%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2002 |
NOJ
2 - 2
CDT
24%
28%
48%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
UBC
3 - 1
NOJ
56%
25%
19%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2002 |
NOJ
0 - 1
AMU
28%
29%
43%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2002 |
AUR
2 - 2
NOJ
48%
28%
24%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
ATH
4 - 0
TAL
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
GIM
1 - 0
ATH
36%
29%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 0
RAC
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2002 |
ALA
1 - 0
ATH
43%
28%
30%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
ATH
3 - 2
OSA
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |