Noja vs Estrella Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+144%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 0
NOJ
68%
18%
14%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
NOJ
2 - 2
RSC
52%
22%
26%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 0
NOJ
48%
23%
29%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NOJ
1 - 3
RIB
51%
24%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NOJ
3 - 0
SMA
49%
23%
29%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ERO
1 - 2
MON
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 1
ERO
80%
13%
7%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ERO
0 - 2
PRE
27%
23%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
BAR
4 - 0
ERO
77%
15%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ERO
2 - 0
SEL
13%
21%
66%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +2 |