Noisy-le-Sec vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
58.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
ASS
4 - 0
LHA
53%
26%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
MON
2 - 0
ASS
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1992 |
ASS
1 - 1
MAR
22%
28%
50%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1992 |
AUX
2 - 0
ASS
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1992 |
ASS
0 - 4
LEN
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |