Noisy Le Grand vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
77.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noisy Le Grand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NLG
2 - 1
LEG
41%
22%
36%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
NLG
1 - 0
FCR
84%
11%
5%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 1
GAZ
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
GAZ
1 - 1
LHA
22%
27%
51%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
BEA
0 - 2
GAZ
11%
17%
72%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
SOC
2 - 0
GAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
GAZ
0 - 1
NIO
37%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |