Noisy Le Grand vs F.C. Riom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.2%
Win probability
3.04
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points