Noia vs Ourense CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
53.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALO
0 - 2
NOI
57%
24%
19%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
NOI
1 - 2
BAR
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
POL
2 - 0
NOI
70%
18%
12%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PON
1 - 2
NOI
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
NOI
0 - 1
SOF
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ourense CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
OUR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
OUR
1 - 0
CHO
61%
22%
17%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 3
OUR
19%
23%
59%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
RCV
0 - 1
OUR
36%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
OUR
1 - 1
ARZ
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |