Noia vs Laracha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOI
1 - 2
BOI
15%
21%
64%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RCV
3 - 0
NOI
76%
16%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
RIB
1 - 1
NOI
65%
20%
15%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
NOI
2 - 0
SIL
25%
24%
51%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 1
NOI
77%
15%
8%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Laracha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NEG
1 - 1
LAR
35%
25%
41%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 0
OUR
35%
26%
39%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 2
ALO
28%
26%
46%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 0
LAR
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
LAR
0 - 0
CEL
64%
21%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |