Noia vs Choco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
59%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ARE
2 - 1
NOI
69%
19%
13%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 1
VIL
18%
24%
58%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NEG
2 - 2
NOI
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NOI
1 - 5
OUR
26%
25%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 3
BER
15%
24%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 1
ALO
44%
25%
31%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 0
CHO
55%
22%
23%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
2 - 0
CEL
60%
22%
18%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
CHO
38%
25%
37%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 2
SOM
32%
25%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |