Noia vs CD Valladares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
6º
17º
7º
21
2º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 70 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 68 |
2º
|
31.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 60 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 59 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 59 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 52 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
7º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 45 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 34 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 31 |
17º
|
29% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 21 |
18º
|
79.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
28.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 82.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 17% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 2
NOI
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NOI
1 - 0
ART
34%
24%
42%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UDO
2 - 0
NOI
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
NOI
2 - 0
VIC
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 13 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MIN
2 - 1
NOI
24%
24%
52%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Valladares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
0 - 0
VIV
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAR
3 - 0
CDV
67%
19%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CDV
2 - 0
ALO
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CDV
3 - 1
UDA
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CUL
1 - 3
CDV
28%
23%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |