Nocerina vs Poggibonsi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
PRO
3 - 1
NOC
44%
28%
29%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NOC
3 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
13%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NOC
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
NOC
0 - 1
SAN
58%
23%
20%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
FCC
1 - 1
NOC
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Poggibonsi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
USP
5 - 2
ITA
32%
26%
43%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
VIN
0 - 1
USP
50%
26%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
USP
1 - 1
ACS
20%
26%
55%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ACP
4 - 0
USP
70%
20%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
USP
0 - 2
VFC
46%
26%
27%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |