Nocerina vs Calcio Foggia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 0
ASG
47%
25%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ASG
1 - 1
NOC
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NOC
1 - 1
VIR
54%
26%
21%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GEL
2 - 1
NOC
23%
29%
48%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NOC
3 - 1
FOL
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Calcio Foggia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
USF
3 - 0
TRA
76%
16%
9%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
NUO
1 - 0
USF
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
USF
0 - 0
TAR
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
BEN
4 - 3
USF
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
USF
0 - 1
NOC
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |