Nocerina vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
32.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
NOC
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
NOC
2 - 1
CAT
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 0
NOC
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
3 - 1
FIA
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
NOC
0 - 0
CAT
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
AVE
0 - 0
PAL
45%
29%
27%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CAT
2 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
64%
21%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CRO
2 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
ARZ
0 - 0
AVE
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |