Nocerina vs Turris Neapolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOC
81%
15%
4%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 0
NOC
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Turris Neapolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TUR
3 - 0
PAL
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CIT
1 - 0
TUR
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
TUR
5 - 1
GEL
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 4
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
4 - 2
USC
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |