Nocerina vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
36%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
FER
1 - 0
NOC
54%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
NOC
2 - 2
PES
27%
29%
44%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
NOC
45%
27%
29%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
CHI
0 - 0
NOC
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
2 - 1
LAQ
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SAS
0 - 0
VIR
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
0 - 0
CHI
73%
17%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
VIR
1 - 0
CAS
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
AVE
0 - 0
VIR
60%
23%
17%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |