Nocerina vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 1
NOC
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
NOC
2 - 0
RIM
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
UDI
3 - 0
NOC
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAM
36%
30%
34%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
TAR
1 - 0
NOC
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1979 |
SPA
1 - 1
TER
58%
26%
17%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
SAM
52%
28%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
PES
0 - 0
SPA
63%
24%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
SPA
1 - 1
CAG
45%
30%
25%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
VAR
0 - 1
SPA
57%
27%
17%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |