Nocerina vs San Severo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 2
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MDC
3 - 1
NOC
15%
18%
67%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 5
NOC
28%
25%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
San Severo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
RPO
45%
22%
33%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
1 - 0
SSM
44%
26%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRA
4 - 1
SSE
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FBC
1 - 0
SSE
40%
23%
37%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 2
SER
44%
23%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |