Nocerina vs Potenza Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CSV
2 - 2
NOC
19%
20%
61%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
TUR
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SSE
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIC
0 - 1
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 2
TRA
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Potenza Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 0
FRA
39%
26%
34%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RPO
4 - 3
TRA
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SSE
2 - 1
RPO
45%
22%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
RPO
1 - 0
CYN
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SSM
0 - 1
RPO
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |