Nocerina vs Portici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NOC
2 - 3
ASD
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SSB
1 - 1
NOC
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NOC
3 - 0
BRI
38%
26%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AFR
3 - 1
NOC
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
1 - 1
NOC
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Portici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
SSC
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LRO
1 - 0
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
PAG
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CSO
1 - 1
POR
38%
23%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
POR
2 - 3
ASI
59%
20%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |