Nocerina vs Virtus Matino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
HYR
0 - 2
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
4 - 3
LAV
36%
26%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
ASF
6 - 1
NOC
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 3
AUD
29%
27%
44%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 0
NOC
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Matino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
MAR
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 2
AUD
8%
17%
75%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
LAV
1 - 0
PVM
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PVM
0 - 1
NAR
18%
22%
60%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
PVM
90%
8%
2%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |