Nocerina vs Picerno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
NOC
3 - 1
MDC
87%
9%
4%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
SSM
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOC
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 2
NOC
17%
22%
60%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 1
PIC
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
PIC
28%
22%
50%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 1
POL
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AVH
0 - 0
PIC
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 1
RPO
40%
23%
38%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |