Nocerina vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
41.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
4º
3º
33
5º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
76.5% | 35.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 64.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FCF
0 - 2
NOC
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
NOC
1 - 1
AMA
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
UGE
1 - 2
NOC
23%
25%
53%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NOC
2 - 2
MAT
35%
27%
39%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 3
NOC
31%
26%
43%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAR
4 - 0
UGE
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAT
1 - 1
NAR
36%
27%
38%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
NAR
4 - 0
ACC
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NAR
0 - 2
ASF
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
NAR
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |