Nocerina vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 0
NOC
38%
28%
34%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 1
FBC
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ROT
1 - 0
NOC
30%
24%
46%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NOC
3 - 0
BRI
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 1
FCF
50%
25%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 2
CAS
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 1
BIS
31%
28%
41%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
FBC
1 - 0
NAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
HYR
2 - 1
NAR
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |