Nocerina vs Nardò analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RPO
2 - 1
NOC
25%
24%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 1
CSV
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
SSE
0 - 1
NOC
19%
23%
58%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
NOC
1 - 0
PIC
73%
17%
10%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
TRA
1 - 0
NOC
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NAR
3 - 0
MDC
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
NAR
40%
24%
36%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
5 - 0
AGR
62%
22%
15%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
BIS
1 - 2
NAR
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 3
ANZ
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |