Nocerina vs Madrepietra Daunia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.6%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.2%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.1%
4.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
SSM
74%
17%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BIS
1 - 1
NOC
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 2
NOC
17%
22%
60%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NOC
2 - 0
POL
87%
9%
4%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CYN
1 - 2
NOC
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
POL
1 - 1
MDC
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
AGR
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 2
MDC
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
MDC
0 - 1
FRA
23%
23%
55%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
AVH
2 - 1
MDC
72%
16%
12%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |