Nocerina vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 0
NOC
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
UDI
35%
30%
36%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SAM
0 - 0
NOC
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
TAR
48%
25%
28%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
ASS
3 - 0
NOC
65%
22%
13%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1979 |
LEC
0 - 2
PAL
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
GEN
1 - 1
LEC
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
TER
1 - 0
LEC
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1979 |
LEC
1 - 2
SAM
49%
29%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1979 |
PES
1 - 0
LEC
60%
25%
15%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |