Coppa Italia Last 16
Global 1-2
Nocerina vs Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.4%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.8%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
15.8%
79.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
19.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.4%
0-3
13.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
16.3%
0-4
7.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 2
NOC
79%
16%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PRG
17%
26%
57%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
PIA
10%
25%
65%
|
48 | 79 | 31 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
NOC
0 - 2
PIS
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1982 |
CAM
1 - 0
NOC
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 0
INT
63%
22%
15%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
RAP
1 - 1
JUV
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
VIC
2 - 1
JUV
18%
23%
59%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
65%
21%
14%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1996 |
FEN
0 - 1
JUV
33%
26%
41%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | +1 |