Nocerina vs Ischia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ACE
2 - 3
NOC
20%
25%
55%
|
52 | 16 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
NOC
0 - 0
VIR
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ISC
0 - 2
NOC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NOC
2 - 1
FBC
41%
27%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 3
NOC
39%
26%
35%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ISC
2 - 2
NAR
26%
26%
48%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
FCF
0 - 2
ISC
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ISC
0 - 2
NOC
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
1 - 3
ISC
15%
19%
66%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ISC
1 - 2
MAT
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |