Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 3-4
Nocerina vs Hellas Verona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
CAG
1 - 1
NOC
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
NOC
2 - 2
CAG
5%
14%
81%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1996 |
JUV
2 - 1
NOC
95%
5%
1%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1996 |
NOC
0 - 0
JUV
4%
16%
80%
|
51 | 92 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1996 |
PRG
1 - 2
NOC
79%
16%
6%
|
50 | 72 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Hellas Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1998 |
VER
4 - 2
RAV
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1998 |
CSA
0 - 2
VER
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1998 |
VER
2 - 0
ASL
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1998 |
REG
0 - 3
VER
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1998 |
VER
0 - 1
REG
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |