Nocerina vs Real Giulianova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
LOD
1 - 0
NOC
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
NOC
0 - 2
VIS
47%
27%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
AVE
1 - 1
NOC
62%
24%
14%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NOC
2 - 1
SOR
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
NOC
1 - 1
CAS
38%
31%
31%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
2 - 1
LAQ
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2002 |
VIT
2 - 0
GIU
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
GIU
0 - 0
CAS
53%
26%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
CHI
2 - 1
GIU
23%
25%
52%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
GIU
1 - 1
VIR
49%
26%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |