Nocerina vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
CCI
0 - 3
NOC
17%
19%
64%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ACI
76%
16%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
NOC
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
GEL
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
NOC
6 - 0
PPI
91%
7%
2%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GEL
3 - 1
ISO
83%
12%
5%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 3
GEL
14%
20%
66%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
1 - 1
EBO
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
GEL
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
GEL
0 - 1
FCI
26%
23%
51%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |