Nocerina vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 1979 |
SSS
3 - 0
NOC
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1979 |
NOC
1 - 1
PAL
33%
29%
39%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SPA
3 - 2
NOC
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
NOC
0 - 0
LEC
45%
26%
30%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
RIM
0 - 0
NOC
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1982 |
CAG
0 - 0
FIO
43%
29%
28%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1982 |
FIO
3 - 0
UDI
67%
22%
11%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1982 |
INT
1 - 1
FIO
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
NAP
0 - 1
FIO
47%
28%
25%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1982 |
FIO
1 - 0
BOL
65%
22%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |