Nocerina vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MES
0 - 2
NOC
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NOC
2 - 0
POM
65%
21%
15%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
TRA
0 - 2
NOC
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NOC
4 - 1
FBC
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SSM
3 - 1
NOC
28%
25%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FCI
0 - 0
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
ISO
0 - 3
FCI
9%
15%
77%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAV
0 - 0
FCI
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NFR
4 - 1
FCI
49%
23%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FCI
4 - 0
ROC
59%
23%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |