Nocerina vs FC Francavilla 1931 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
CAV
6 - 1
NOC
75%
18%
7%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NOC
3 - 1
USB
43%
24%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 0
NOC
48%
24%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NOC
2 - 2
GLA
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
ASF
2 - 3
NOC
63%
21%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
FC Francavilla 1931
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
FCF
3 - 3
MAR
37%
27%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
FCF
59%
24%
18%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCF
2 - 0
LAV
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
FBC
2 - 1
FCF
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
CAV
4 - 1
FCF
71%
19%
9%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -1 |