Nocerina vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
45%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GIU
2 - 1
NOC
30%
27%
44%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1999 |
AVE
0 - 1
NOC
63%
23%
15%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
28%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
CAT
3 - 1
NOC
29%
27%
45%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 0
BEN
67%
20%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
PAL
0 - 1
CRO
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
CRO
1 - 1
CAT
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ASC
1 - 1
CRO
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CRO
27%
27%
47%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |