Nocerina vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
38.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
NOC
80%
15%
5%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
NOC
3 - 1
VER
24%
28%
48%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 0
NOC
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NOC
2 - 1
ASG
48%
26%
26%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 2
NOC
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 0
TOR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
1 - 0
EMP
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
0 - 1
EMP
58%
25%
17%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMP
74%
18%
9%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | -1 |